Zwick wants to burn skeptics houses down for not being a stupid as he is.
The models have proven incredibly accurate when it comes to projecting the overall rise in extreme events
He must be referring to the longest period on record without a major hurricane strike in the US. Or perhaps the decline in severe tornadoes?
Martin Hoerling, leader of the climate-extremes attribution team at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, wrote:
- Very few have undergone a scientific investigation of contributing factors, let alone human impacts. I believe that a read of the Lewis and Clark journals would reveal an impressive list of extreme weather also…. so what is one to make of this list for the 2001-2011 period provided in this Perspective by Coumou and Rahmstorf. The fact is that extremes happen, have happened, and will continue to happen. For some, their character, preferred phase, and intensity may be changing (aside from temperature extremes, the detection and attribution evidence to date is weak).
More on Extreme Weather in a Warming Climate – NYTimes.com
“Zwick – If I Only Had A Brain”
Dorothy’s response is probably very apt in this case as well:
“The models have proven incredibly accurate when it comes to projecting the overall rise in extreme events”
Funny, I read the actual papers on this topic (regional downscaling of GCM’s) and everything in the literature I can find states the opposite–that the models when tested are completely useless.
True story. On my first (and last) visit to Zwick’s blog a few months back I took some statements from IPCC AR4 and a couple of peer reviewed studies that addressed some of the shortcomings in climate science, and put a comment up to see what kind of reaction I would get at the blog. Zwick himself called me out as a “denier” with the usual hate filled screed. I responded with the IPCC links and and climate studies to back the info in my comment and wrote that I often “test” the authors of new blogs I visit to see if they really know the subject matter, in this case climate science. I finished by saying that time is too precious to waste on uninformed people who just like to listen to themselves scream at those they hate and he actually printed my response.