Joe has been telling us for several years that we were headed for a huge dive in temperatures. It is here.
discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/data/amsu_daily_85N85S_ch05.r002.txt
The eight coldest days of the last decade have all occurred in the first seven weeks of 2012. Temperatures are currently 0.4 degrees colder for the date than any other year in the past decade. Temperatures have dropped almost a full degree since 2010.
Meanwhile, the hockey team continues to ramp up the lies about rising temperatures, and Phil prepares to throw any remaining integrity out the window with HadCRUTv4.
joe bastardi
The old adage was you could not fool mother nature. The corollary is you cannot fool science.
Fear not…C02 will save us…or the yellow/green color off the west coast of S. America on the ocean temp anomaly …
http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sst_anom.gif
..on a positive note
The Florida real estate market needs this…………
I know! I’m waiting for it! I bought a 7 yr old 3 Br CBS home in the Ft Myers area a year ago for 78K. Gated community, waterfront (man made lake) 1922 sq ft. 7 yrs old. Sold in 2005 for almost 300k. My payment is $334. It’s rented for $850. I’d like to get 10 of them. It may take 15 years (unless Maunder kicks in) but once the inventory dries up, cost of construction is ~200K for the same thing.
..we’re $250 sq ft down here, for new construction
but that doesn’t cover impact and the environment crap
or any of the permitting
Tricky clouds are now in the mix.
http://www.theage.com.au/environment/climate-change/falling-clouds-could-counter-global-warming-20120222-1tmpw.html#ixzz1nA5rIEJH
Thanks for the kind words, but most of us ( Steve included) know where this is going overall the next 20-30 years. N America has been the warm heart of a cooling planet. For the record, I expect a weak to perhaps moderate el nino to evolve this summer into winter, and while that will push global temps up a bit, double la ninas followed by el ninos with a cold PDO means the break we had this year in N America is not likely to repeat next year. Europe is likely to have another severe stretch, which would make it 4 winters in a row year to deal with a cold extreme. While I officially have forecasted global temps , as measured by objective satellites, to return to the temps of the late 70s by 2030, I must confess that some of the more extreme forecasts due to solar cycle theory certainly have reason to have a seat at the table.
The real shame is that we are now handcuffed by out of control warmingistas that have choked the lifeblood of our nations economy and find ourselves in a real bind as far as energy because of a ghost that never existed, and a reality that has a good chance of proving the opposite. Its amazing how many problems would be solved if we were just drilling without the paranoia about global warming. A more prosperous economy, less unemployment, more national security, and right on down the line. Years from now, people will marvel at how all this actually went on, perhaps with the same morbid fascination we look at what happened at Europe in the 30s. Tell a big enough lie loud enough , and people believe it
We have gone 20 years without a big volcanic eruption, we are near solar max, and ENSO is neutral. They have got to realize that their scam is at a tipping point.
Doesn’t the Iceland volcano count as a big eruption?
I’m not a meterologist, but I’ve been wondering what effect a volcano has on CO2 concentrations , along with all the other dust and dirt, on climate “change”.
Compared to El Chichon and Pinatubo, it produced very little ash and had almost no impact on temperature.
thanks.
I would have guessed otherwise ( but that is what it was, a guess).
Barry
The Iceland volcano only caused problems because :-
1) The steam it created going through the glacier caused it to explode much higher through the atmosphere.
2) The ash as a result was carried into extremely busy airlines by the prevailing winds.
Lately I’ve been studying the influence of the Sunspot Cycle on Minimum Temperatures recorded at the Armagh Observatory, it appears that when the ssn bottoms out more frequently Armagh temps seems to be a good indicator for a negative Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation.
Between approx 1955- 2008 SSN didn’t bottom out once during the months from December to March, but between approx 1866-1935 SSN bottomed out 6 times through consecutive cycles, and the minimum Temperatures followed very well, it’s seems that whenever Sunspot numbers fall to zero during consecutive cycles of low sun spot numbers we get a negative AMO.
Four weeks ago I fired up excel and input manually the data gathered from these two sources below, The match I got was very clear cut, I’m now looking to use this simple technique on other north Atlantic temperature data and then northern hemisphere data.
SSN DATA http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/solar/ssndata.html#international
Minimum Temperature DATA http://climate.arm.ac.uk/archives.html
All the best
No doubt Joe, no doubt. This is what I wrote last night on the McArdle article in response to some pinhead….
……….Recall that the thing you(the warmist) call science being taught to our children is the same indoctrination that allowed this to be made….. http://www.numberwatch.co.uk/warmlist.htm
This comes from the same people that tell us heat has magically changed its physical properties and is now hiding at the bottom of the oceans. (Travesty Trenberth) Or that the coal burnt in the U.S. caused warming while coal burnt in China causes cooling.(Hansen) or that the dog ate their homework and they no longer have the original data. (Jones) It took skeptics years before that cast of idiots would even acknowledge that clouds or atmospheric H2O could possibly play a role in climate variation. Or even the sun. Their advocacy is an embarrassment to all educational systems past, present and future. This madness will live forever for posterity….. so future generations can point and mock and be in awe of the unfathomable ignorance the western world has displayed.
One more thing,,sorry I forgot.. A Hansen Super Nino watch is in effect. Once he realizes that the Nino is coming on ( I posted last year when he was screaming about one for this past winter to wait till the following winter.. the one coming up in 12-13, though it would be weak) he will yell from the roof tops about a super nino, oblivious to the fact that we have a cold PDO and ninos are shorter lived and weaker.
I guess the 1 million or so he gets on the side of his government job by doing all this consoles him, but the watch is in effect anyway
Hansen predicted a super El Nino around 2008/9. He got a moderate one in 2010. Then he predicted another El Nino right after that and got a double dip La Nina instead. Not a great score card.
Excuse me, but can someone explain why the data for an elevation of 14,000 feet was chosen for these graphs? If you go up one directory, you’ll see a much wider variety of data that I would like to see analyzed. And why restrict ourselves to just data from 2003 or later? What about earlier – like 1990 or something? And doesn’t it seem the average for 2008 is lower than 2012? I don’t understand the conclusions made from these graphs.
14,000 feet is considered the lower troposphere. Measuring at that elevation eliminates unwanted effects like UHI, and is close to the surface in places like Antarctica and Greenland – which are critical to Hansen’s theories. This data is vastly more valuable than the sparse surface data reported by GISS and HadCRUT
The daily data only is available back to 2003.
Solar 24 max may hit SSN 40 after all as D Archibald predicted two years ago at WUWT. They (SSN) certainly seem to be sputtering out currently AGAIN LOL. On a lighter note I would say many lukewarmers must be considering crossing into skeptic line by now hahah
Amazing work men …. amazing! We are indebted to you.
Thank you Joe and Steve. (posted it.)
Okay, sorry if this is a derail.
Right now, the “You might also like:” section is showing “Harold and the Purple Crayon”, which is in fact, one of my favorites.
Do you pick the “You might also like”? Or does a computer?
If it’s a computer, it is interesting that it seemed to look for books whose covers are visually similar to your graph.