GISS 2011 is in at 0.52. Even with all of Hansen’s inflated Arctic numbers, temperatures remain below his zero emissions after the year 2000 scenario C. An honest scientist would admit that he failed spectacularly, retire, and go enjoy his grandchildren.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v3/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/1988/1988_Hansen_etal.pdf
“Scenario A assumes continued exponential trace gas growth, scenario B assumes a reduced linear linear growth of trace gases, and scenario C assumes a rapid curtailment of trace gas emissions such that the net climate forcing ceases to increase after the year 2000.”
hansen szenario failed
Have any subsequent models come out from any pro-AGW scientists that have accurately PROSPECTIVELY predicted air or ocean temps, without having to go back and alter original data?
I’m still waiting for an explanation from Jim about the mismatch between his 1988 forecasts, and his own figures, and his still constant doomsaying.
Nir Shaviv draws an interesting conclusion from the failure of the IPCC’s 1990 predictions, namely that upholding the climate sensitivity estimates of 2 to 4.5 deg C is not credible. (and thus, the later IPCC reports are not credible.)
http://www.sciencebits.com/IPCC_nowarming
“and go enjoy his grandchildren”
Put yourself in the parents’ position – would you want someone like this anywhere near your children?
Maybe if you want to frighten your children badly. But it’s more likely they would get depressed.
“….he failed spectacularly, retire…”
Retire?!? Failing spectacularly is a resume enhancement for socialist alarmists.
Many of us are still waiting for scientific evidence of the so-called “greenhouse effect.” So far, it’s still an unproven theory that has come under increasing attack by a growing body of scientists, many of them respected physicists. (Note: the warming that occurs in the atmosphere bears to resemblance to what happens in a greenhouse, which is heated through the suppression convection.)
There’s still no proof that CO2 induces global warming. It’s another theory